My Election Predictions
Nov 2nd, 2008 |
Many of you who know me well know that I’m hardly a passive observer of politics. I’m opinionated. But I keep my politics to myself on our Missions Minded blog because, well, politics and missions usually do not mix! But in anticipation of the big election day tomorrow, here are a few of my political predictions sure to be wrong:
First, the House
- The Dems will increase their majority from 236-199 to 245-190.
Then, the Senate
- Elizabeth Dole (R) will lose her seat in North Carolina.
- Al Franken (D) will win the race in Minnesota (please, God, let me be wrong on this one predication!)
- Despite Ashley Judd’s influence…especially in Kentucky…and especially among men…Mitch McConnell (R) will hold on to his important Senate seat.
- The Dems will pick up several seats in the Senate, but will not win the filibuster-proof majority of 60 seats in the Senate. When the dust settles, I predict the new Senate will be: Democrats 59*, Republicans 41(* including the two Democrat-leaning and -caucusing Independents).
Finally, the Big Prize
- Exactly four years ago I watched Obama give his first nationally televised speech at the DNC. After watching that speech I said to myself, “He’s going to be president one day.” Whether he wins tomorrow or not, I’m pretty sure that prediction is going to turn out to be correct.
- Last summer I was talking politics with my parents and a few aunts and uncles. This was just as the primary season was beginning to heat up. I voiced my opinion that I thought Obama would beat Hillary. Why? He’s less polarizing, more eloquent, and more electable in a general election. My family thought I was crazy. Let me just take this opportunity to say, “I told you so!”
- I also predicted last summer that an Obama vs. McCain election would be a blow-out win for Obama; I have no reason to change that predication now. I’m going to guess the national/popular vote will be Obama 54.5%, McCain 47.5% and the electoral vote will be Obama 375, McCain 163.
There it is! Let’s see how well I do. Again, these predictions have nothing to do with how I voted…they’re just predictions. And regardless of who wins or loses, America will remain the greatest nation on God’s green earth!
Now, tell me where and why I’m wrong…
Bobbi Barr said:
Dear Amber & Nathan
Hi- I hope we will see you on your visit to CHS.
Re your predictions- You may be right but I hope and pray with everything in me that you are wrong about a couple of your picks- Obama in peticular. He may be eloquent but he is dangerous.
He should have to present his birth certificate before the election takes place. (not because of his birth but his parents status at the time of his birth) However God is still in control regardless!
Nathan said:
Bobbi, for the record, I hope I’m wrong too!
We’d definitely love to see y’all when we’re in town!
God bless.
Nathan said:
I’m starting to rethink the wisdom of writing this post; I’m getting flooded with messages on email, Facebook, and Twitter asking, “Nathan, are you really voting for Obama?!?!” These are just predictions. That’s all.
Carmi said:
Guess they did not see the part where you said these were predictions and had nothing to do with how you voted. I think you are unfortunately probably right about Obama. Bobbi is right too, regardless of what happens, God is in control and God is the one who puts people in power.
Nathan said:
I don’t mean to brag, but I’m going to brag on my electoral college prediction of 375-163. If Missouri goes for Obama, I will nail it exactly!